COVID-19 projections, When will it end? (up to date models by state)

Projections change daily as more data is made available and as the situation changes. The bad news is that the worst is yet to come, but there is light at the end of the tunnel. recent models show that there will be a lot less sickness and death than was though just days ago.
For the most up to date projections by state, one resource available to you is here:

For my state, Tennessee, it looks like the peak will occur in 9 days and we will not have a shortage of beds or ventilators. Some other states, Like NY, are projected to have a shortage, but not nearly as bad as was thought just a few days ago. The situation changes daily though, so pray that the news continues to get better and that fewer people will fall victim to this virus.


Great info, Bert! Thanks.

Not a single model has been correct.

When this is past remember that fact for global climate change.


I hope your info is close to correct Bret.

Wow , This such a problem. I seen in Wisconsin on the news today people standing in voting lines wearing no mask and with in 1 foot distance of each other. What about the spread of the virus. We can go vote but cant work.

I’m a Wisconsinite.
Stupid govenenor tried to pull a fast one by postponing the election announced Monday. Judge said NOPE

Don’t you mean the Stupid Judge that overruled him. Subjecting the citizens of Wisconsin to spread the virus like wildfire.


You either respect the constitution as written or you don’t.

Both state and U.S. supremes rejected the attempt.

Now don’t you look silly?

My state is short 16,000 hospital beds, and the model mentioned above has wildly underestimated where this was supposed to go. Last week that model said 59 folks would die of Covid-19 the next day, when the real number turned out to be 216. Day after that, they added 10 days to the Days-to-Peak.

I think the most you should infer from those models is what direction the pandemic is heading in your area. The scale of numbers are unreliable, imho.

Until we have a testing program in place to be able to identify those who’ve had it, those who have immunity, who’s asymptomatic, and who’s at risk, nothings going to change much.

There has been a complete failure when it comes to testing, and that’s putting it lightly.

As for the models, IMO they can be “somewhat” predictive as long as the data that was input matches peoples behaviors, the weather, and any other variables that get input to get a general picture.

As for a vaccine, looks like the soonest will be spring of 2021, and that’s if everything goes as planned.


Not true.

What a hack.

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I’m sorry you are in an area that is experiencing some of the worst conditions and I hope that you and your loved ones are OK.

Not if you listen to Rush. But if you listen to every last one of the healthcare workers and every one of the first responders, you’ll get the truth.

Even the right leaning Wall Street Journal and Cato agree that testing has been nothing short of FAIL.

You go to war with the Army you have not the one you wish you had.

Pay attention and thank whoever you need to that Hillary lost.

Can you imagine?

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Democrats: That raciest president is closing the boarders and flights from foreign travelers.

Two weeks later

Democrats: That good for nothing president took too long to close the boarders and flights from foreign travelers.


Did you stand in line And vote?





Sure. 6 ft. apart. NEXT?

Keep it QUIET & out of the news that the malaria drug works!
Let us all die rather to go with anything our president says.
Sick bastards.


If joey gets Wuhan he will be demanding hydroxychloroquine.

You can bet on it.

Updated April 7, 2020