Brian,
There is much more to the situation than just temperatures. Even in one of your favorite researchers view points, from Joseph Lstiburek, he points out the decrease in a 15 year shingle roof, (How old is this document?), will be about 3-4 years.
The rational for the unvented assembly is to promote higher quality internal health, thereby reducing mold and other moisture related occurrences.
Please review the following link. It is not dated, so I don’t know what era this research paper is from.
Ed
http://64.233.167.104/search?q=cache:kcPfF4acwpAJ:www.noblackmold.com/news_files/UnventedAtticsArticle.doc+prblems+with+unvented+shingle+roofs&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=2&gl=us
Excerpted paragraph from the above paper:
Unventing roof assemblies in most climates increases the air conditioning load on a typical home by approximately 3-to-5 percent. If the ducts are inside the conditioned space and we are not worrying about mold, humidity, ice-damming or blowing snow issues, vent the roof and don’t give up the 3-to-5 percent.
Remember there is a trade-off. I choose to give up the 3-to-4 years in the life of my shingles **(ed; out of a 15 year shingle warranty. That is a loss of 20% to 27% of the expectet shingle life.), **in exchange for better performance for the entire system and I choose to void the warranty. Not all people will want to make this choice. I already see their logic. Yes, I prefer mold in my house in Orlando, FL in exchange for 3-to-4 years more on my shingle life; and yes, I want my shingle to be black or brown in Austin, TX so that I can install a 1-to-2 ton larger air conditioner.
**Is this some of the logic and rationale that I would like to emmulate and follow? **
Ed
Some More From That Paper:
Now, where the real effect of not venting roof assemblies is felt is the temperature of the underside of the roof sheathing. My field measurements and compute modeling show that the temperature of the underside of the roof sheathing increases between 10 and 20 degrees F. Why the huge difference here and not on the shingles? Well, compare the R-value of a shingle and the R-value of the roof plywood. A temperature gradient can actually exist across the plywood. And, ventilation air on the underside of the roof plywood does remove heat. Take away the ventilation air and you do increase the temperature of the underside of the plywood. But does this matter? Yes and no. Depends on the overall system design.
Unventing roof assemblies in most climates increases the air conditioning load on a typical home by approximately 3-to-5 percent. If the ducts are inside the conditioned space and we are not worrying about mold, humidity, ice-damming or blowing snow issues, vent the roof and don’t give up the 3-to-5 percent.
But if you are stupid enough to put ducts in attics, if you are stupid enough to put air handlers in attics, if you are stupid enough to hire interior designers and architects that design incredibly complicated roof structures that cannot be air sealed at the interior drywall because of jigs, jogs, shelves, coffers, pot lights, valleys, hips, dormers, beams, skylights, etc., give up the 3-to-5 percent. Guess what you gain? You gain between 10-to-30 percent savings from the airtightness of the roof sheathing and lack of conductive gain on ductwork in vented attics.